人形机器人热潮被夸大：AI 突破短期内难以改变生活
人形机器人的落地时间表可能被严重高估：语言模型式的成功，并不等于机器人能搞定物理世界的不确定性。
Tesla 的 Optimus 等 AI 人形机器人被寄予厚望——马斯克称其 2027 年前后开售、单台约 2 万美元，可替代几乎所有人力。但许多机器人研究者认为，把支撑 ChatGPT 的语言与图像 AI 直接搬到物理世界，远不足以应对真实环境的无穷变化。
正文摘录
The story is a collaboration between MIT Technology Review and [Aventine](https://www.aventine.org/), a non-profit research foundation that creates and supports content about how technology and science are changing the way we live. A robot shaped like a human—white with a black head and torso—has been popping up on video feeds. Perhaps you’ve seen it dance or pass popcorn, put trash in a bin, vacuum, or press the button of a microwave. Or maybe you’ve watched it fall backward while handing out water bottles or struggle to iron a shirt. This would be [Tesla’s Optimus](https://www.tesla.com/AI), an AI-powered humanoid robot that Elon Musk, the company’s CEO, believes will be “not just Tesla’s biggest product ever, but [probably the biggest product ever](http://www.fool.com/investing/2026/07/…